PAUL JOHNSON
  • HOME
  • BLOG
  • Kiviq Software Instructions
  • Kaivik Software Instructions
  • Kaivik Manuscript and instructions
  • Original Vernon Smith Double Auction Experiment Paper
  • Experimental Economics Labs
  • Economic Education Resources
  • Kaivik Manuscript and more instructions

Only Paul Could Go To Changchun

Monetary Policy under Behavioral Expectations: Theory and Experiment

11/19/2017

 
Here.

Expectations play a crucial role in modern macroeconomic models. We consider a New Keynesian framework under rational expectations and under a behavioral model of expectation formation. We show how the economy behaves in the alternative scenarios with a focus on inflation volatility. Contrary to the rational model, the behavioral model predicts that inflation volatility can be lowered if the central bank reacts to the output gap in addition to inflation. We test the opposing theoretical predictions in a learning-to-forecast experiment. The results support the behavioral model and the claim that output stabilization can lead to less volatile inflation.


From:

Cars Hommes
University of Amsterdam

Domenico Massaro
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

Matthias Weber
Vilnius University


Comments are closed.
Proudly powered by Weebly